Why natural gas is a margin risk for manufacturers

If your plant runs boilers, furnaces, ovens, kilns, or a cogeneration unit, natural gas is not an overhead line item - it is a raw material. When gas prices spike, as they have repeatedly done on winter cold snaps, hurricanes, and supply shocks, the cost lands directly in your cost of goods sold. Products priced on annual contracts or long sales cycles cannot be re-priced mid-stream, so the spike comes straight out of margin.

Natural gas is also one of the most volatile commodities traded in North America. Prices that look comfortably low in the shoulder seasons can double in a heating season. Budgeting off last year's average is not a plan; it is a hope.

The forward contract approach

A forward contract lets you fix the commodity portion of your gas cost for a defined period - a winter, a year, sometimes longer - at a price you agree to today. Coverage is structured around your metered usage profile, so a plant that runs flat year-round is hedged differently than one with a seasonal production peak.

Contrast this with buying NYMEX natural gas futures directly. Futures are 10,000 MMBtu contracts with margin requirements, daily mark-to-market, and margin calls whenever the market moves against your position. A manufacturer hedging a winter's worth of gas can face repeated cash calls at exactly the wrong moment. The CCS forward structure removes the margin-call mechanism entirely: no daily settlement, no collateral calls, and terms matched to your delivery schedule instead of the exchange calendar.

Deciding how much to cover

Most industrial buyers hedge a portion of expected usage - enough that a price spike cannot wreck the year, but not so much that a price collapse leaves them badly underwater against competitors. The right percentage depends on how much of your gas cost you can pass through, how stable your volumes are, and how much pain a given price move would cause.

None of this eliminates risk. If prices fall, you pay the contract price on hedged volumes. The point is converting an unknown cost into a known one, and a broker with 40-plus years of experience can help you weigh coverage levels against your actual exposure rather than against a forecast nobody can make reliably.

How Manufacturers Hedge Natural Gas Costs — FAQ

Can a manufacturer hedge only the winter months?

Yes. Forward contracts can cover a single heating season, a strip of months, or a full year. Coverage is typically matched to the months where your exposure and the price risk are greatest.

What if our plant usage drops after we hedge?

Hedging more volume than you consume creates a speculative position, which is why contracts are sized conservatively to reliable base-load usage. Your broker will stress-test the volume assumption before anything is signed.

Why not just buy natural gas futures?

You can, but futures bring margin calls, daily settlement, and standardized contract sizes that rarely match a plant's consumption. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. A forward contract is built around your schedule instead.

How far ahead can a manufacturer lock gas prices?

Commonly a season to a year or more, depending on market liquidity. Longer terms are possible but usually carry wider pricing, so many buyers layer coverage forward in stages.

Talk It Through with a Real Broker

Call Lannie Cohen at 317-848-8050 — 40+ years of commodity experience, one phone call away.

Call 317-848-8050 Open an Account